Smiley FaceMovie 2007 Click Here ->>> https://byltly.com/2tl5PY Smiley Face is a 2007 American-German stoner comedy film directed and co-produced by Gregg Araki. Written by Dylan Haggerty, it stars Anna Faris as a young woman who has a series of misadventures after eating cupcakes laced with cannabis. The supporting cast includes Danny Masterson, John Krasinski, Adam Brody, Jayma Mays, Marion Ross, Jane Lynch, and Roscoe Lee Browne in his final film.[2] Smiley Face was the ninth feature film directed by Araki. Smiley Face premiered at the 2007 Sundance Film Festival, followed by a very small theatrical release; in Los Angeles it had a week long run at the Nuart Theatre in Santa Monica.[3] The film was released to DVD on January 8, 2008.[4] Nathan Lee in his review for the Village Voice wrote that \"...100 percent sober when I watched it, I can say with some authority that Dylan Haggerty has written an eleventh-hour candidate for the funniest movie of 2007, that Gregg Araki has directed his finest film since 1997's Nowhere, and that Faris, flawless, rocks their inspired idiot odyssey in a virtuoso comedic turn.\"[5] It also toured around British cinemas in the summer of 2008 as part of the 22nd London Lesbian and Gay Film Festival. On review aggregator Rotten Tomatoes, the film has an approval rating of 66% based on 38 reviews, with an average rating of 5.8/10. The website's critical consensus reads, \"Although many of the jokes have been done before, Anna Faris's bright performance and Gregg Araki's sharp direction make Smiley Face more than your average stoner comedy.\"[12] On Metacritic, the film received a score of 71 based on 9 reviews, indicating \"generally favorable reviews\".[13] Faris won the \"Stoner of the Year\" award at High Times magazine's Stony Awards, in Los Angeles, on October 13, 2007, for her role in Smiley Face.[14] Sally Cruikshank’s animated title sequence for Gregg Araki’s stoner comedy Smiley Face is an opening like no other. The sequence is a no-holds-barred trip, a cannonball leap into psychedelia, vibrant and pulsing and a foreshadowing of the film’s plot. The animated forms have a child-like energy, loose and endearing, and the backgrounds vibrate with colour, beaming the most saturated hues directly into your retinas. The Chemical Brothers’ “Star Guitar” is the perfect accompaniment, steady and driving, a force of liberating rhythm. And in a stroke of genius, the film’s title doesn’t appear at all. Who needs words when a smiley will do We are back to a relatively normal level of DVD releases this week, including a few that are worth considering for DVD Pick of the Week. Both 3:10 to Yuma on Blu-Ray and The Riches - Season 1 on DVD are prime contenders. If you don't have Blu-Ray, it's the latter, while if you do, it's the former.More...Contest - Have a REALLY Happy New YearDecember 28th, 2007 The first weekend of the New Year brings us only one wide release, One Missed Call, which is the target film in this week's box office prediction contest. In order to win, one must simply predict the film's opening weekend box office. Whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going over, will win a copy of Smiley Face on DVD.Meanwhile, whoever comes the closest to predicting the film's opening 3-day weekend box office (Friday to Sunday), without going under, will win a copy of Naked Brothers Band - Season 1 on DVD. In addition, both the above winners will also win Jimmy and Judy on DVD. Entries must be received by 10 a.m., Pacific Time on Friday to be eligible, so don't delay!More...Honeymoon Not Over for Old MenNovember 20th, 2007 Margot at the Wedding won the race on the per theater chart with just over $80,000 in two theater for an average of $40,518. No Country for Old Men was pushed into second place, but it managed seventh place on the overall chart with over $3 million in just 148 theaters, giving the film an impressive average of $20,782. The only other film to top $10,000 was Holly with $12,442 in its lone theater. More...Movie Website Reviews for Weekend of November 16, 2007November 17th, 2007 A rather mixed bag of limited releases this week with a couple that were pushed back from earlier, wide releases and a couple of busted Oscar bait movies. This leaves only a handful of movies worth checking out, including a pair of documentaries: I for India and What Would Jesus Buy. More...Movie Website Updates for July 15 - July 21, 2007July 21st, 2007 Big list in terms of numbers, not so much in terms of quality. In fact, the best film in terms of updates this week was The Simpsons Movie - Official Site, which has already won the Weekly Website Award. Because of that, there are no new winners this week. More...Movie Website Updates for July 8 - July 14, 2007July 14th, 2007 One of the last summer blockbusters launched its full site this week. This means two things, The Bourne Ultimatum - Official Site is the clear winner of the weekly website award. And secondly, there will likely be a slowdown in top-notch sites as we approach the dog days of summer, and the even worse days of September. More...New Movie US Release Dates - April 15, 2007April 15th, 2007 Brener, N. D., Weist, M., Adelman, H., Taylor, L., & Vernon-Smiley, M. (2007). Mental health and social services: Results from the school health policies and programs study 2006. Journal of School Health, 77(8), 486-499. He added, \"Wherever the Internet has become a part of people's daily lives, the smiley has soon followed. I sometimes wonder how many millions of people have typed these characters, and how many have turned their heads to one side to view a smiley, in the 25 years since this all started.\" Fahlman said that would stir up more people with more responses, and soon the original thread of the discussion was buried. So, a discussion of ideas for joke markers ensued, during which Fahlman suggested the sideways smiley face. (Read the original thread.) The Army Times 2007 Soldier of the Year looked at what had happened to him and made the decision that he was not going down the same path as the character Gary Sinise played in the 1994 movie Forrest Gump. While Smiley was in school, he also cultivated a friendship that had begun during the summer of 2007 with legendary Duke University basketball coach and fellow West Point graduate, Mike Krzyzewski, Class of 1969, before the men's basketball world championships and Olympics. 59ce067264 https://www.cliftonroadcarsales.co.uk/forum/general-discussions/where-to-buy-enamelware

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Vintage ConstructionManuals & Brochures (5) HYDRAULIC DRIVE MOTOR, POCLAINHYDRAULICS SINGLE SPEED, FOR MUS/GEHL OEM 131775.Major hydraulic pump manufacturers and brands, direct equivalents,Italgroup IAM Series - Single Displacement Radial Piston HydraulicMotor Vickers, Hamworthy, Hydromatik, Kawsaki, Linde, Parker,Permco, Poclain, Racine, RHL, who specialises in hydraulic machining,repair and design work, were looking. poclain with jack (Hydraulic excavator)/ manual means to requiredpoclain ms08 manual manufacturers, Detailed Poclain motor spare partsfor OEM service. HYDRAULIC MOTOR - POCLAIN RADIALPISTON MOTOR PARTS. POCLAIN RADIAL PISTON MOTORPARTS. Click here for the Poclain website. 1142255G. PoclainHydraulics Conceptualize and design manual ADA compatible waterpump Assisted with disassembling, cleaning and repair of hydraulic Micron Hydraulics specialise in the repair and reconditioning of Poclain pumps and motors across their entire range. In addition we carry an extensive range of spare parts to enable us to carry out the work in the quickest time possible. Where units have become obsolete we can manufacture and source parts to refurbish these units to a high warranted standard. Characteristics:Modular Design: Motor integral structure according to the modular design, with chip stacking, including mechanical output device, hydraulic device, mechanical brake device of three parts, which can be conveniently matched with various hose optimization.High pressure, Excellent low-speed stability:Using the automatic compensation oil distributor of plane type, with low sensitivity of pressure and temperature, automatic compensating the wear of the friction pair, so as to ensure high volumetric efficiency of motor for any time, the highest working pressure to 35MPS, symmetrical piston, high start efficiency, excellent low-speed performance, the lowest stable speed id less than or equal to 5r.p.m.Bear axial and radial force:Using an independent set of mechanical output device, reliable designing of output shaft and bearing, the power driving device with balance radial force and pure torque outputs, so the motor can bear large axial force and radial force, can be directly with gear output or installed on the vehicle driving wheel.Multi-functions:The motor can be added all kinds of hydraulic valves, mechanical brake, wheel output shaft and other components, motor can make a double displacement, multi-functions collocation can meet the needs of users in various fields. Characteristics:Modular Design: Motor integral structure according to the modular design, with chip stacking, including mechanical output device, hydraulic device, mechanical brake device of three parts, which can be conveniently matched with various hose optimization.High pressure, Excellent low-speed stability:Using the automatic compensation oil distributor of plane type, with low sensitivity of pressure and temperature, automatic compensating the wear of the friction pair, so as to ensure high volumetric efficiency of motor for any time, the highest working pressure to 35MPS, symmetrical piston, high start efficiency, excellent low-speed performance, the lowest stable speed id less than or equal to 5r.p.m.Bear axial and radial force:Using an independent set of mechanical output device, reliable designing of output shaft and bearing, the power driving device with balance radial force and pure torque outputs, so the motor can bear large axial force and radial force, can be directly with gear output or installed on the vehicle driving wheel.Multi-functions:The motor can be added all kinds of hydraulic valves, mechanical brake, wheel output shaft and other components, motor can make a double displacement, multi-functions collocation can meet the needs of users in various fields. What role does a pump play in a hydraulic system There is no doubt that the hydraulic system will include a pump when there is a high-pressure fluid flow. The fluid in the reservoir will almost always be pressurised by a hydraulic pump and passed to other hydraulic system components in big, medium, or small hydraulic systems. To put it another way, a hydraulic pump is crucial for transforming mechanical energy into hydraulic energy. The effectiveness and performance of the hydraulic system will be negatively impacted by minor damage to these hydraulic pumps. So a hydraulic pump needs to receive the correct maintenance. Otherwise, your hydraulic system will sustain expensive damage that cannot be repaired. Rather than installing new hydraulic systems, as RHM did in therefractory-press project, Vermont Machine Tool has completely replaced aginghydraulic pumps and valves with CNC servomotors in the machine tools used bythe automotive, aerospace, heavy-equipment, bearing, paper, and steelindustries since 1983. The conversion of older metal-cutting hydraulicequipment, such as grinders and lathes, into CNC electrically poweredmachines increases the accuracy and repeatability of the machining process,boosting productivity and worker safety while reducing maintenance, energycosts, noise, and the environmental liability for the disposal of hydraulicfluid. All movements of the rifling machine were originally controlled byhydraulic feed motors. \"The accuracy of these motors was fine 30 yearsago when the cold-forming machine was first made, but it was far behind theprecision that can be imparted by computer controls, which is why this armsmanufacturer sought our help,\" said Nelson of Vermont Machine Tool. Vermont Machine Tool engineers used computer-aided-design tools,including proprietary software, to design the electrically powered motionsystem for the cold-forming machine. They replaced the existing hydraulicfeed motors with five Siemens servomotors to control the feed motions of themachine, the wedge motion (which controls the size of the barrel), and thegantry, which automatically loads and unloads the barrels. The newservomotors are connected to a Siemens CNC station located on a platformadjacent to the machine. The bridge conveyor receives the potash that is mined by a tunnelingmachine and then deposited on the conveyor's six hydraulic carts. Thesecarts convey the ore to stationary belts, often miles long, to carry the oreto skips that transport it to the surface. The entire conveyor is slowlydriven forward by an operator so that it can follow the mining machinecutting into the potash layer. Hydraulic motors turn the foam-filled tiresthat move the conveyor at speeds of 4 to 6 inches per minute. Hypower engineers replaced the universal drive shaft with a hollowshaft so that the entire motor would be contained - and protected - withinthe frame assembly. The existing hydraulic motor was replaced with a VickersVane motor that had a larger displacement of 90 cubic inches so that it wouldrun about 40 percent slower but with 40 percent more power. This, saidOgilvie, decreased the dust produced by 60 to 70 percent and permitted smoothstart-ups without lightening the load or rocking the conveyor on its wheels. Despite such successes, Burton of the University of Saskatchewancautioned that there is a downside to upgrading hydraulic machines: Makingfluid power systems more sophisticated means they will be more difficult torepair. \"The operators and maintenance crews for hydraulic equipmenttypically solve a hydraulic problem by hitting a clogged valve or line with ahammer. That doesn't work with a malfunctioning transducer.\" 59ce067264 https://www.cliftonroadcarsales.co.uk/forum/general-discussions/finland-baby-box-buy

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The League will provide you an umpire shirt, hat, and access to umpire gear. Junior Umpires are also eligible for the RWLL umpire gear reimbursement program, which pays you back if/when you buy your own umpire equipment. The League provides each volunteer umpire with their own hat and shirt. The League also has shared shin guards, chest protectors, masks, baseball runner flag, a plate brush, a ball bag and indicators that can be used during games and returned after games. The League offers umpire gear incentives to volunteer umpires. For every 8 games you work, you can reimburse the League $50 spent on your own umpire gear. Work with your Umpire-in-Chief (UIC) to confirm games in Arbiter and email the paid receipt(s) with your name and street address to your UIC. SPECIAL: Sign up for 12 or more RWLL baseball or softball games in Arbiter, and the League will reimburse you $110 towards umpire gear. 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We also do screen printing, many types of custom apparel and more for umpires, referees, schools, corporations, sports teams, organizations, and local unions. Lastly, we are the go-to store for varsity letterman jackets. We strive to provide exceptional customer service and quality products for all our customers. Anyone who has an approved Volunteer Application form on file (for the current season) with the League can be an umpire. Adults can either be volunteers (unpaid) or paid contractors. Junior umpires (under 18) can become an umpire by contacting the Umpire in Chief, Jeff Hocker @ [email protected]. Yes. The Umpire in Chief holds training sessions in advance of the spring as well as ongoing support and umpire coaching. Additionally, umpires receive booklets with Little League rules and umpire-specific information. For specific information please contact our UIC, Jeff Hocker. The League provides umpire shirts and hats. Protective gear such as face masks, chest protectors, shin guards, ball bags, strike/ball indicators, and plate brushes are provided as well and stored at each location. Umpires may also provide their own equipment, should they wish to do so. The League Umpire in Chief who works with umpires to determine availability, and then will contact each umpire once the division schedules have been established to determine if the umpire would like to accept a game. If the umpire declines the game, then it will be offered to another umpire. The League prefers that umpires work games from the various divisions (Minors, Majors, & Juniors), as each division provides different levels of play and being exposed to different umpires at their games promotes a richer experience for players. Dalco Athletic's Baseball and Softball Clothing and Accessories include everything you need to prepare for a day at the ballpark. Purchase your umpire gear, equipment, apparel, facemasks, helmets, chest protectors and more. For the second time in two seasons, Atlanta Braves third baseman Chris Johnson was ejected from a game after arguing with an umpire and throwing his helmet. Next game, Johnson hit the field with a new piece of equipment: duct tape over his mouth. The baseball helmet is meant to protect players. But it's increasingly becoming a problem for Atlanta Braves third baseman Chris Johnson. For the second time in two seasons, Johnson was ejected from a game after arguing with an umpire and throwing his helmet. Next game, Johnson hit the field with a new piece of equipment: duct tape over his mouth. The Braves need Johnson in the game. He's leading the league in batting and so the team hopes this new strategy sticks. 59ce067264 https://www.rejuvineering.com/forum/work-smart-not-hard/download-file-iptv-spain-vip-26-01-2023-playl

Dictionary Of Plant Names: Over 100,000 Names O... DOWNLOAD ---> https://tiurll.com/2tl0YU The NCBI taxonomy (names data file downloaded June 1st, 2009) was used to construct the species name dictionary. This dictionary covers 386,108 species plus 116,557 genera and higher-order taxonomic units. During this work, only species were considered, but the software could easily be adapted to recognize genera or other higher-order taxonomic units as well. All species terms in the NCBI taxonomy database are categorized according to type, such as scientific name (e.g. Drosophila melanogaster), common name (e.g. fruit fly), etc. All types were included except for acronyms, where only a smaller subset was used (see the following section). Based on the scientific names of species, abbreviated versions of each scientific name were generated and included in the dictionary, such as \"D. melanogaster\" from \"Drosophila melanogaster\" (see also [10]). On average, each species had 1.46 names provided in the NCBI taxonomy, which rose to 2.46 names per species when abbreviations were included. We applied the LINNAEUS system to nearly 10 million MEDLINE abstracts and over 100,000 PMC OA articles that were published in 2008 or before (Table 1). Tagging of the document sets took approximately 5 hours for MEDLINE, 2.5 hours for PMC OA abstracts and 4 hours for PMC OA, utilizing four Intel Xeon 3 GHz CPU cores and 4 GB memory. (We note that the main factor influencing processing time is the Java XML document parsing rather than the actual species name tagging.) These species tagging experiments far exceed the scale of any previous report [7, 10, 14, 23, 25, 36, 37, 41], and represent one of the first applications of text mining to the entire PMC OA corpus (see also [15, 54, 55]). Over 30 million species tags for over 57,000 different species were detected in MEDLINE, and over 4 million species tags for nearly 19,000 species in PMC OA. LINNAEUS identifies species in 74% of all MEDLINE articles, 72% of PMC OA abstracts, and 96% of PMC OA full-text articles. In terms of the total number of species in the NCBI taxonomy dictionary, 15% of all species in the NCBI dictionary were found by LINNAEUS in MEDLINE, 1.3% were found in PMC OA abstracts and 4.9% were found in the PMC OA full-text articles. The density of species names in MEDLINE or PMC OA abstracts is 30-fold and 3-fold lower, respectively, than that for PMC OA full-text articles; the density of species mentions is 11-fold lower in both sets of abstracts relative to full-text documents. 3. Create Long, Random, Unique Passphrases: Strong passwords resist password cracking attempts. Passwords should be over eight characters in length and made up of both upper and lowercase letters, numbers, and symbols. Avoid using dictionary words, names, and other human-readable passphrases. Length and strength should reflect the sensitivity of the account the password is meant to protect. According to NIST Special Publication 800-63, Digital Identity Guidelines, a best practice is to generate passwords of up to 64 characters, including spaces. Raichu's tail is used to gather electricity from the atmosphere, or it can be planted in the ground to search for electricity. It also protects Raichu from its own high voltage power. Raichu can store over 100,000 volts of electricity, enough to knock out a Copperajah. If Raichu's sacs are fully charged, its ears will stand straight up and its muscles become stimulated. However, it will become aggressive if it has stored too much electricity and stress. To keep from reaching this state, it discharges electricity through its tail into the ground. This leads to scorched patches near its nest. Being the result of evolution via Evolution stone, Raichu is rarely found in the wild, though they can be found in forests and woodlands. The main reason Raichu is rarely seen in the wild is because people prefer the look it had as Pikachu. 59ce067264 https://www.naadv.org/forum/general-discussions/rocco-e-i-suoi-fratelli

Fair Strike LINK ===== https://fancli.com/2tl082 where $S*$ is some fixed reference price that you can think of as the approximate at-the-money forward stock level that marks the boundarybetween liquid puts and liquid calls, $S_0$ is underlying current spot price, $P(K)$ and $C(K)$ are current prices of put and call both with the strike $K$ respectively, $r$ is risk-free rate and $T$ is time to expiration. The language around implied volatility can be a bit loose. For example, the Black-Scholes implied volatility of an at-the-money call on a stock could be 15%. For a 10% out-of-the-money put option on the same stock, the Black-Scholes implied volatility could be 18%. The variance swap is a measure of the overall implied volatility, not connected with a particular strike price. You could think of it as a weighted average of the implied volatilities of struck options, as given by the integral formulae in @zer0hedge answer. In equation B4 of Appendix B, the author takes the Taylor Series of the variance swap replication portfolio with the constant term being equal to implied volatility squared. For me, this implies that the fair strike of a variance swap is equal to implied volatility squared when there is no skew in the IV surface. I developed a tool to replicate fair variance strike and I always get a value higher than the IV squared when I use constant volatility to price each option in the replication. I get similar results when I use my trader's pricer at my job. I doubt there is a numerical error as I am simply doing a partial sum. Hence, I would expect the error to underprice the fair strike. As many of you know, we have begun strike authorization votes at most of our NYC private sector hospitals and will be done voting at those facilities in the next couple days, with the goal to complete all our votes at all of our facilities by the end of the year. So far, an overwhelming majority of our NYSNA colleagues are voting yes to authorize a strike. An Oscar statue with a table setting in the background is displayed during a preview of food and decor for the 80th Academy Awards Governors Ball in Hollywood January 30, 2008. No one will get inside one of Hollywood's most exclusive Oscar night parties this year: Vanity Fair magazine said on Tuesday it was scrapping its famous fete in support of Hollywood's writers in their three-month-old strike. REUTERS/Phil McCarten As many hospital CEOs continue to take significant raises on multi-million-dollar salaries, executives offer nurses just 4 percent in average annual wage increases VIDEO: Watch video of nurses announcing their intent to strike. Graduate student researchers and academic student workers at the University of California voted this week to approve new contracts, ending their six-week strike today (Dec. 23). Under the terms of the new contracts, these workers will be among the best supported in public higher education in the country. The University continues to do everything possible to mitigate the impacts of a strike and ensure continuity of instruction and research. We have appropriate measures in place to ensure instructional continuity and are encouraging faculty departments and academic units to provide additional support and resources for student learning. Our campuses will be prepared for contingencies in the event a strike impacts the conclusion of the academic term. A single mom of three school-aged kids, Congresswoman Porter has been a staunch advocate for families throughout her time in Congress. She recently reintroduced legislationto strike an unfair penalty against single parents in the tax code, as well as a bill to more than double the amount of pre-tax income families can set aside for dependent care. She has also been an outspoken advocate for moms, who have been disproportionately forced out of work during the pandemic. The fair market value of a public company is open to the public and established by the market. The FMV of a share of common stock in a private corporation is the acknowledged current value of that share. Independent third-party appraisers assess fair market value. It represents the value of the stock on the open market. If the stock price rises, the employee will profit if the option is exercised at the strike price that is lower than the current stock price or FMV. If the stock loses value, the option will be worthless, and the employee will not exercise the option and hence suffers no loss. Private companies usually use an independent 409A valuation provider to evaluate the fair market value of their common shares. This can help them avoid expensive audits and their employees from penalties. When the FMV of the stock increases, the difference between the FMV and the option strike price is called the spread. This is the underlying value of the stock. When the spread is positive, options are considered ITM. After their previous labor contracts expired in July and months of stalled negotiations fell flat, the strike began on Nov. 19, when 34 dump truck drivers at Gary Merlino Construction set up picket lines at their facilities in Renton and South Park. By Dec. 3, that number had swelled to 330 as these drivers were joined by cement mixer drivers, concrete pourers, and a host of mechanics, plant and lab technicians, and yard workers at facilities across King County, putting a stop to the majority of concrete deliveries. University staff across Oregon are fighting though one of the most difficult contract negotiations in years. Unlike their counterparts at State agencies, administrators at the seven public universities have refused to offer us fair raises and benefits. While many of them receive six figure salaries (four even make a cool seven figures), they leave a large number of classified staff with less than living wages. The economy is strong and Higher Ed funding is at a record high. It is time for change. That is why employees across all campuses are pledging to strike if the time comes. A strike is when workers withhold their labor, effectively rendering their workplace unable to continue without them. While management and employers tend to hold most of the money and resources, the employees who make a workplace function have the people. We do the work that makes the university system possible, and so when management treats us as though we do not matter, we remind them we do matter by taking a bit of our power back. By walking out on strike we reclaim the strength we have when we act collectively through our union, and it is the strongest tool we have to push management to do the right thing. Strikes are the last resort for a union bargaining a contract, and if management refuses to make fair concessions in the negotiating process then the employees can decide to walk away and strike as a way of exerting pressure. Striking only works as a negotiating tactic if most of the employees are on board, which is why employees are signing strike pledge cards right now. If negotiations continue to be stalled then a strike vote will be issued and members can decide if they want to authorize a strike. A strike is called by a majority vote. Each and every worker will have to make the choice about whether or not they will stand with their coworkers on the picket line. A strike is only successful if we come together in collective strength and it is critically important that we stand together during this process. We understand a lot is on the line for employees when they are walking the picket line, but a lot is on the line in contract negotiations as well. Management wants to keep wages low, keep you below market rate, and undermine the protections you enjoy at work as part of a union. The quality of your job is in question right now. So when we join together as a union and choose to join a strike, we are doing everything possible to save our workplaces. Strikes do not happen in isolation. Employees will be working with a whole range of supporters. We are already working with student groups and other unions on campus, and making the ask that they will not cross the picket line. This means that they will respect that the strike is happening and refuse to enter places where workers are striking and will not do work that is normally performed by the classified staff taking their union action. Community groups from around the state will also be signing community support petitions, and politicians from across Oregon will be speaking out. We are a strong unit and Oregon supports us. Strike FundThe SEIU Local 503 board recently approved $500,000 to create a Hardship Fund to support workers who do go out on strike. For people who lose wages for the few days they are away from work during the strike, they can apply for money from that Hardship Fund as a way of filling the gaps. As a union, we come together to support each other when things get hard, and this is a way of maintaining our strength even when we put ourselves on the line during a strike. There are three primary ways that a person can get this kind of support if they are on strike. The first is through a picket stipend of $400 per week to help fill the gaps lost if they go on strike for more than seven days. The second is the hardship fund mentioned above, which will address bigger issues that a member faces because of the strike period, such as missed bills. The third will be an additional Hardship Fund that is specific to sub-locals, adding to the number of financial resources that members will have access to. To raise your voice and support your team you should make sure to sign a strike pledge here. This just means that you commit to joining the strike if it is authorized, but a strike vote will not happen until September . The government today (15 July 2015) introduces new reforms to strengthen strike laws, ensuring the right to strike is fairly balanced with the right of people to be able to go about their daily lives and work. People have the right to expect that services on which they and their families rely are not going to be disrupted at short notice by strikes that have the support of only a small proportion of union members. 59ce067264 https://www.tzusandmewsrescue.org/group/mysite-200-group/discussion/c8aab78b-86e0-4581-beab-4ee433c8d7d6

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The anonymous client wanted to make it a homage to a few of his favorite classic cars, and the X1 managed to fulfill it beautifully. Deep down it was still an MP4-12C, but every component on the outside was bespoke. There was lavish use of carbon fiber, and the paint job on this one-off concept was a tricky one. The mystery client came up to the then MSO Programme Director Paul MacKenzie and expressed his interest in wanting a unique car. This guy already owned a McLaren F1, a Mercedes-Benz SLR McLaren, and during their chit-chat, had also acquired a new McLaren MP4-12C. The client was a man of timeless taste and he wanted to wrap a 12C in design cues collaged from all a few timeless classics. The cars that helped in designing the X-1 Concept were the 1961 Facel Vega, 1953 Chrysler D'Elegance Ghia, 1959 Buick Electra, 1939 Mercedes-Benz 540K, and 1971 Citroën SM. This dude was very particular about the design, that after series of internal and external design competitions that lasted for over 3 years, he approved a particular design done by Hong Yeo. When we speak of 'bespoke', our wildest imagination will limit us to thinking of a cool paint job and unique wheels on the outside. In today's time and age, the interior was given more importance for a 'bespoke' offering. But it was quite the opposite for the 2012 McLaren X-1 Concept. The whole exterior of a donor MP4-12C was stripped down to its monocell. And the car was designed from scratch. Everything on the outside was made from carbon fiber. And the contrasting bits were custom-milled from a solid piece of aluminum. This was then brushed with a plush nickel finish. The \"pure-black\" paint job was a tough process as the dense black made it pretty difficult to hide imperfections. Even the headlights and taillights were custom made to mimic the McLaren Speed Marque logo at the front. A very specific design cue was of the skirts that covered the rear wheels. This was an ode to the iconic Citroen SM and with the level of detail and engineering gone into it, we are pretty sure that the client was a die-hard Citroen fan and a quirky guy! McLaren had exclaimed the rear skirt hinges as being \"some of the most gorgeous hinges you've ever seen\". The only exterior design bit that was carried over from the donor 12C was the top-mounted exhausts. Everything else was custom-built to the client's preference, which also made the X-1 Concept slightly larger than the 12C. Contrary to the extremely customized exterior, the McLaren X-1 Concept's interior was given a mellow makeover. The layout was taken directly from the MP4-12C but the client had it custom-wrapped in Harissa Red McLaren Nappa leather all around. The dashboard was overlayed with red inserts, and the center console was carved out of carbon fiber. McLaren also included a titanium weave with the carbon to give it a cool 3D effect. Contrasting aluminum bezels were layered across the cabin and the gear shifter was a machined aluminum bit coated with nickel. The client was more than happy with the MP4-12C's powertrain, and so the X-1 Concept was given the same without any modifications. The 3.8-liter turbo V8 pumped out 592 HP and 443 lb-ft of torque. Power was sent to the rear wheels via a 7-Speed automated manual transmission. Despite all the intensive work done on the exterior, McLaren managed to keep the curb weight the same as its donor at a maximum of 3,249 pounds. This allowed the timeless fusion of this McLaren to do 0-60 MPH in the same 3.2-second mark as the 12C. The one-off McLaren X-1 Concept is not everyone's cup of tea. Honestly, that's not a point of discussion here, as it was built specifically for a client's dream. And the fact that despite all these years it hasn't popped up for sale, shows us how much the mystery man loves his one-off. The X-1 proved to be an impressive showcase of skills and the level to which McLaren's MSO department would go to build a one-off. The craftsmanship and level of detail in the X-1 are praise-worthy, and clearly put forth the perfect prologue to what McLaren could provide. Tijo is an engineer, mechanic, and an avid content creator. He is a grease-monkey who loves tinkering with automobiles every now and then, when not busy penning down his passion for them. He has always had a soft spot for JDM and is keen on diving deep in for anything that involves wheels and engines. It's the latest offering from McLaren's Special Operations (MSO), a division of the Woking company unveiled this time last year at Pebble Beach, and responsible for building completely bespoke creations for very special customers. It was one of those very special customers - someone who already owns a McLaren F1, Mercedes-Benz SLR McLaren and 12C - who began discussions with McLaren chief Ron Dennis three years ago to build something completely unique. Apparently the brief was to create something with the capability of the 12C, but wrapped up in something that reflected his \"needs and personality\". The three hour discussion covered such noted automotive inspirational touch points as the Guggenheim museums in New York and Bilbao, a Jaeger LeCoultre art deco clock, an Airstream trailer, a Montblanc pen, a piano, an eggplant, and of course, the delightful Ms Hepburn. Mood books happened. Said client wanted to draw potential designers of his Hepburn-mobile from inside and outside McLaren, with Korean-born RCA grad Hong Yeo's design being the final one you see before you. McLaren's Yeo referenced a 1961 Facel Vega, a '53 Chrysler D'Elegance Ghia, a 1959 Buick Electra, a 1939 Mercedes 540K and a 1971 Citroen SM. Despite being based on the 12C Monocell, the X-1 is wider and longer than the MP4 but weighs around the same (1,400kg), using the same interior architecture, albeit with some personalisation such as a titanium weave and tufted carpets. Underneath, the same 3.8-litre twin-turbocharged V8 remains, powering the rear wheels, replete with 621bhp and many torques. It's also been thoroughly homologated for road use (it was tested for 625 miles) and because it's been nailed together by McLaren, expect it to offer Space Station levels of build quality. BBC Studios is a commercial company that is owned by the BBC (and just the BBC). No money from the licence fee was used to create this website. The profits we make from it go back to BBC programme-makers to help fund great new BBC programmes. BBC is a trademark of the British Broadcasting Corporation. Logos 1996. The X-1 uses carbon fiber body panels throughout, which keeps its weight the same as the MP4-12C. Looking like a retro-Batmobile, the X-1's sides are heavily styled, although Yeo says \"No details are simply visual cues, every one has a purpose.\" The doors open in the same manner as those of the MP4-12C, while the panels over the rear wheels are hinged. The wheels themselves are also a custom design. A power-operated rear wing, designed to work as an airbrake, is made from aluminum. The engine is the same 3.8-liter six cylinder, with twin turbos, as found in the MP4-12C. It generates 592 horsepower. The car had its own unique development programme. This was no fragile concept. It had to be usable and road legal. It took two-and-a-half years to build. Development included 625 miles of testing, including two intensive stints at the Idiada circuit in Spain, driven by McLaren chief test driver Chris Goodwin. After testing, it was meticulously rebuilt to concours standard. The body is made from carbonfibre. Even the rear number plate illuminators are made from carbon. Other gorgeous details include a machined aluminium header tank cap and carbon finishers in the engine bay. The airbrake rear wing is also machined from solid aluminium and nickel plated. So is the McLaren logo on the nose. The new body is longer and wider than the normal 12C although, despite the revised roofline, the height is the same. The 12C carbon monocoque body is unchanged, and so are all mechanical components. The doors have also been specially developed, although they retain the dihedral action and the twin hinges. McLaren Special Operations (MSO) was introduced to the public last year, as the customization arm for the famed supercar->ke177 builder. Think of it like Mercedes' AMG without the performance parts. We haven't heard too much from this arm in the last year, but that is because they have obviously been extremely busy. That's a huge list of inspirations, but when you look at the X-1, you can actually visualize where each piece may have gained its inspiration. 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But ultimately, the measure of any webcam must be the quality of its images, and this one easily wins the day. The QuickCam Pro 9000's 2-megapixel Carl Zeiss lens sits atop a large plastic stand with a hinged clip. Because it's not spring-loaded, I'm concerned that over time it could loosen and lose its resistance, thus keeping it from wedging securely against an LCD. Out of the box, however, it fits tightly enough, and doubles as a sturdy desktop stand. The lens itself can tilt a full 90 degrees relative to the stand, but that's not enough to point it in the opposite direction—meaning you can't film what's happening in front of you without reorienting the entire webcam. But the camera at least scores a few style points with its glowing red camera-active ring and grille-capped microphone. Of course, the real news is the quality of the QuickCam's video. At 640 by 480 pixels—the maximum resolution most other webcams can manage before video turns to slide show—the QuickCam Pro 9000 has no equal. Live images look sharp and silky-smooth, with perfect contrast and exposure levels regardless of the lighting conditions. I tend to roll my eyes when companies tout made-up–sounding technologies such as RightLight 2, which Logitech credits for these incredibly accurate results, but let's give credit where it's due: RightLight always gets it right. I also tip my hat to the camera's lightning-fast autofocus. The test in itself was simple, to tell the truth. No matter how many advanced features it has, a webcam must transmit a pristine image and clear sound. Boasting a 2 megapixel Carl Zeiss lens, the QuickCam Pro 9000 made us ashamed of our pre-historic 2001-model webcam. Every friend we contacted through instant messaging attested the high quality and sharpness of the image received. But it was during a session of VOIP conversation using Skype that the webcam really shone. Since Skype allows for full screen video transmission, the QuickCam high resolution came in handy: no image noise or artifacts during the session. The RightLight corrected any brightness fluctuations and optimized the picture. The microphone worked great, delivering our voice intelligibly to the listener. For those hooked on YouTube, the HD recording feature allow the user to be an amateur filmmaker and register those precious moments of pets and small children raising hell in the household. Logitech's latest webcam promises to pack a real punch and make keeping in touch with your family or friends a real doodle, but does it We get video calling to find out. The Logitech QuickCam Pro 9000 sits at the top end of the company's webcam offering and comes with a number of features to prove it. Designed with a fairly hefty stand the camera can be positioned on the desk by your computer, or hinged over the top of your monitor. The main body of the device sports the camera, a light to let you know what is going on and a decent enough microphone. The same main body has a good degree of movement and this helps when positioning the webcam as you can pretty much put it anywhere without restriction. The only qualm is the length of the cable that it comes with. 1.5m might sound long, but if you've got to get it from the top of a monitor to a desktop computer under your desk you're going to struggle - we certainly did - and therefore the investment in an additional USB cable might be worthwhile. On to the camera itself and the QuickCam Pro 9000 sports a 2 megapixel sensor with Carl Zeiss lens. The result is a crisp clear image that will really pick up you, text and your surroundings. The megapixel quality also means that you'll get a video resolution of 960 x 720 pixels (theoretically HD), and you'll also be able to shoot 8 megapixel still shots with the use of Logitech's accompanying software. In use and you'll get a wide angle shot that means if you're trying to get in you and the family you won't have any trouble. The auto focus functionality works well and overall the image quality is very good as you would expect. In an attempt to help even further the Logitech QuickCam Pro 9000 also features something called RightLight 2 technology. In English this means that the camera will intelligently change and adapt to the environment to, according to Logitech \"to produce the best possible images in dimly lighted or poorly backlighted settings\". In practice and we would have to say that the camera does a very good job of doing just that coping with the majority of lighting effects we threw at it. Likewise a similar technology has been used for the sound and the microphone. This time called RightSound, the technology promises to reduce background noise and improve speech quality. Again in our tests the Pro 9000 performed very well. When it comes to software everything is run out of a menu console. Here you get access to the web camera itself where you can take still images, as well as video with plenty of options to get what you want from the camera. Beyond the basic functions however there is also a privacy option that allows you to replace the video feed with a still image, and for fun the ability to add fun effects to your video. Good for the kids you can add hats, beards, glasses and other accessories, however you can then take it one step further and even opt to turn yourself into an alien or a cat which in the corporate world is pretty pointless but could be fun with the grannies. 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Ten minutes across campus, the indoor surf laboratories double as classrooms. Motion cameras, a swim bench ergometer, and a treadmill on hydraulics are just a few of the gadgets placed around the lab, ready to measure how surfers move. Closets are crammed with foam boards, and plastic bins are stuffed with wetsuits from past experiments. Nessler, a mechanical engineer by trade, has even built a few contraptions that exist nowhere else in the country, like a surfboard simulator on pistons that rages like a mechanical bull to mimic riding a wave. The professors first realized how much wetsuits could be improved in 2002. Nike had purchased Hurley, bringing its coffers and commitment to science over to the surf industry. Hurley, under Nike, tried modifying a wetsuit with a new material, theorizing that it would improve its thermodynamics. Then the company took a rare step in the wetsuit industry: it asked scientists to design an experiment and collect the necessary data to prove or disprove its hypothesis. Hurley responded positively and built a never before considered wetsuit: 4 millimeters in the legs, 3 millimeters over the lower belly and back, and 2 millimeters in the chest, upper back, and arms. In short, a suit that kept surfers warmer for longer and let them paddle more efficiently throughout the length of their sessions. It seemed like wetsuits were about to be revolutionized. Are you looking for a shorty wetsuit for your son or daughter Then our children's shorty's are ideal! The shorty's have short arms and legs. This makes the children's shorty wetsuits perfect to wear during the warm spring days and in the summer. Are you looking for a wetsuit that keeps the body warm Check out our kids wetsuits. With one of our children's shorty's your kids will stay warm on a nice summer day. 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Bill and Bob each bought one third of the local sports shop Dive N' Surf, owned then by surfboard shaper Hap Jacobs and dive entrepreneur Bev Morgan. Bill and Bob were raised in Boonville, Missouri and moved to Manhattan Beach, CA in 1944. They became interested in diving & surfing, and became Los Angeles County Lifeguards. Later they would invent the first wetsuit to extend the season for every watermen in the cold winter waters of the Pacific Ocean. We kitted out the Corners of The Earth team in our Freedom Steamers and sent them off to explore one of the wildest, most isolated coastlines on the planet. In the name of \"Research & Development\", the crew braved freezing cold water, snow storms and sub-zero winds, putting our new green-minded wetsuits to the ultimate test. As surfers we demand high quality products, that are ethically produced without compromising on functionality or performance. 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Ocean and Earth Ladies 2mm Hi Cut Long Sleeve Surfing Wetsuit Womens 2mm Front Zip   Excellent little wetsuit for a bit of warmth through those transition months or the earlier or later surfs. Nice and flexible, so that offers a great... Ocean and Earth Ladies 2mm Boyleg Long Sleeve Surfing Wetsuit Womens 2mm Back Zip   Excellent little wetsuit for a bit of warmth through those transition months or the earlier or later surfs. Nice and flexible, so that offers a great... Ocean and Earth Anti-Rash Surf Short Wear Under Boardshorts or WetsuitEveryone wants to surf hours on end, or all day, even all holidays, but everyone forgets that lots of time damp can lead to an angry uncomfy rash. Pre-empt the pain and try to... Established 30 years ago in Dublin advising and kitting out Ireland's surfers with wetsuits and surfboards. Surfdock is now Ireland's no.1 watersports school and surf shop. 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We don't care how old your board is. Surfing is our medicine and if you're out there spreading good vibes, we're on the same wavelength. We aim to provide you with sustainable swimwear, comfortable wetsuits & hemp apparel to keep your days bright, and your smile brighter. Surfing is our medicine and if you're out there spreading good vibes, we're on the same wavelength. We aim to provide you with sustainable swimwear, comfortable wetsuits & hemp apparel to keep your days bright, and your smile brighter. We are super stoked to be the first business in the area with this capability and convenience for our customers. Whether you are looking to reserve a good wetsuit for the swim section of your next triathalon or the waves just happened to be pumping on your family vacation to Wrightsville Beach and/or Wilmington, NC; we got you covered with fresh wetsuits from our kind sponsor BILLABONG WETSUITS. We have all sizes in Mens, Womens, and Youth. 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Between the rich, ripe 2002 and the powerful but racy 2008, the 2004 is an excellent but more classically proportioned example of Dom Pérignon. 94/100 Robert Parker' An unorthodox approach to the perception of one of the most senior roles within any champagne brand, sure. But it comes as no surprise that Chaperon describes both the process of creating a vintage wine, and his role overseeing it, as akin to a horticulturist. No bottle encapsulates this relation more so than the Vintage 2004 Plentitude 2. Presented with themes of renaissance and calm, and inspiring a similar sentiment upon first sip, the 2004 is a celebration of the year the grapes were grown in; a considerable contrast to 2003, a summer characterized by dramatic frosts and a historic heat wave. The wine is a blend of 53% Pinot Noir and 47% Chardonnay. Yields in 2004, a vintage with excellent growing conditions, were an average 10-11,000kg per hectare, compared to 3-4000kg/ha in 2003. 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While the 2004 vintage was released in 2013, its sister bottling, the Vintage 2004 Plénitude 2, was kept behind in the cellars to continue maturing on the lees for a full 18 years, giving the liquid ample time to transform. The result is a vibrant wine that belies its age, and balances complexity with a still youthful energy. With its remarkable ease and generosity, the 2004 winemaking year stands out in the history of Dom Pérignon. The vines developed with great regularity and without incident, resulting in substantial yields of large grapes. The dry heat of the final weeks really shaped the vintage. The harvest began on September 24th, providing grapes that were both in excellent health and superbly ripe. With its remarkable ease and generosity, the 2004 winemaking year stands out in the history of Dom Pérignon.The vines developed with great regularity and without incident, resulting in substantial yields of large grapes.While the weather was generally anything but extreme, the vines developed with great regularity and without incident. The dry heat of the final weeks really shaped the vintage. The harvest began on September 24th, providing grapes that were both in excellent health and superbly ripe. Stemming from fine Champagne terroirs, Dom Pérignon is always a vintage wine and can only be produced from the grape harvest of a single year. The commitment to the vintage is absolute. For each vintage, a limited amount of bottles are set aside, destined to undergo a longer ageing process. During this extra time, the activity inside the bottle continues to grow. The yeast provides its energy to the wine and enlivens it beautifully. The course of the year 2004 is almost perfect. The seasons succeeded one another with ease, fluidity and without incident. A rather cool month of August was followed by a few weeks of dry heat that truly shaped the vintage. Benefiting from an abundance of energy, lent by the year 2003, the vines blossomed and expressed themselves fully, leading to a generous harvest of perfectly healthy and superbly ripe grapes that began on September 24th. The fruit of 2004 remains discreet but it is more clearly defined in this second life of the wine. Pink grapefruit and blood orange notes finally give way to aromas of fig. The extra time on the lees reveals the sublime maturity and minerality of the vintage, the signature style of Dom Pérignon. Cocoa, mocha, roasted notes, brioche and honey notes emerge. Yet another masterpiece created by Richard Geoffroy. Unmistakable Dom Pérignon style with unparalleled silkiness throughout the palate. The mousse is worthy of its own chapter and the elegance is striking. Nice minerality and floral notes with citrus overtones. Slightly short now, but time will fill in the small gaps in the beginning of life. This time it tasted intensely toasty and fairly close to the 1983 when I tasted that vintage for the first time at the same age as the 2004 is now. (RJ) (9/2014) Another stellar wine, the 2004 Dom Pérignon is just starting to show the first signs of aromatic development, as well as a bit of added weight it did not have as a young wine. The 2004 remains a bright, mid-weight DP built on persistence and length more than overt volume. I have always had a soft spot for the 2004. This tasting does nothing to dampen that enthusiasm. (AG) (7/2019) The 2004 Dom Pérignon is one of the more reductive, autolytic vintages of this wine to have been released in the last decade, offering up a toasty bouquet of pears, green apple, iodine, peach and smoke. On the palate, it's medium to full-bodied, satiny textured and fleshy, with a sweet core of fruit, a fine mousse and a vinous profile. The 2004 is drinking well today: as I wrote earlier this year, between the rich, ripe 2002 and the powerful but racy 2008, the 2004 is an excellent but more classically proportioned example of Dom Pérignon. (WK) (4/2020) The story of Dom Pérignon begins nearly three centuries ago. Born in 1638 in Sainte-Menehould in Argonne, could Pierre Pérignon imagine that he would become the \"spiritual father of Champagne\" One thing is certain, his name has crossed the centuries by fuelling the debate. According to the legend, Pierre Pérignon discovered what we call today the méthode champenoise.Ordained a priest in 1667, it is in 1668 that Dom Pierre Pérignon took up his post as cellarer at the Abbey of Hautvillers. Located not far from Épernay, in the Marne region of Champagne, the Abbey of Hautvillers was founded around 650 by the archbishop of Reims, named Saint-Nivard. The magnificent architectural complex, now owned by Moët & Chandon, was renovated under the impetus of Catherine de Médicis in the 16th century, after having been destroyed and rebuilt many times. Upon his arrival, Dom Pierre Pérignon continued the renovation work and built new buildings. Written documents show that he was called \"Dom Pieærre\" or \"Dom procureur\". In charge of managing the monastic affairs and making the vineyard activity prosper, Dom Pérignon will distinguish himself by his ability to elaborate still wines with grapes coming from \"the Mountain\" and \"the River\". Having become blind, it is said that Dom Pérignon tasted grapes from different crus and grape varieties of the Champagne region to make the blends. He was endowed with a great gustatory sensitivity allowing him to identify the typicity of a vintage by being able to classify them according to the year of harvest.Dom Pierre Pérignon mastered perfectly each step of the wine making process, from the viticulture to the blending, through the vinification. 59ce067264 https://www.mofitnait.com/forum/welcome-to-the-forum/hailey-holiday

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Decision Analysis Using Microsoft Excel Download File - https://shurll.com/2tkMzY With a broad library of probability distributions, data fitting tools, and correlation modeling, @RISK lets you represent any scenario in any industry with the highest levelof accuracy.Add Decision & Data Analysis with The DecisionTools SuiteThe complete risk and decision analysis toolkit, including @RISK, PrecisionTree, TopRank, NeuralTools, StatTools, Evolver, RISKOptimizer, and ScheduleRiskAnalysis. What-if analysis is a great use case for Azure machine intelligence techniques. Bart Czernicki, Principal Technical Architect with the Microsoft Machine Intelligence team, shows you how in his sample web app for baseball decision analysis based on ML.NET and Blazor called the Machine Learning Workbench. He shows you an example architecture on Azure and provides all the source code on GitHub. 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This study aimed to develop a multiple-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) framework, apply the framework to potential and currently listed respiratory inhalers in the Ministry of Health Medicines Formulary (MOHMF), and analyze the impacts of applying the outputs, from the perspective of listing and delisting medicines in the formulary. Methods. The overall methodology of the framework development adhered to the recommendations of the ISPOR MCDA Emerging Good Practices Task Force. The MCDA framework was developed using Microsoft Excel 2010 and involved all relevant stakeholders. The framework was then applied to 27 medicines, based on data gathered from the highest levels of available published evidence, pharmaceutical companies, and professional opinions. The performance scores were analyzed using the additive model. The end values were then deliberated by an expert committee. Results. A total of eight main criteria and seven subcriteria were determined by the stakeholders. 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Data analysis has emerged as an important field because it provides the ability to analyze data which helps people in making better decisions. Data analysis is the process of collecting, modeling, and analyzing, and exploring data to find a pattern in it. Decision Tools is a set of Microsoft excel add-ins for risk and decision analysis. It includes @Risk, StatTools, PrecisionTree, TopRank and other Excel add ins. It is a commercial product from Palisade Corporation. The McCombs School of Business has negotiated a number of licenses for student use. You will need to install Microsoft Office (free Office 365 subscription) first if you are installing Decision Tools on your computer - Multicriteria decision analysis (MCDA excellently solves this dilemma, especially in the evaluation of expensive, high-risk medical devices [6]. Currently, MCDA tools are being increasingly used in the healthcare sector [7]. They have been successfully used in purchasing off-patent pharmaceuticals [8], medical devices [6], and orphan drugs [9]. We demonstrate the application of NetMetaXL using data from a network meta-analysis published previously which compares combined resynchronization and implantable defibrillator therapy in left ventricular dysfunction. We replicate results from the previous publication while demonstrating result summaries generated by the software. This tool was designed to allow users to run network meta-analyses, as well as to appraise Bayesian network meta-analyses using WinBUGS via a more user-friendly Microsoft Excel interface. The current versions of NetMetaXL only allow the user to apply Bayesian network meta-analysis for binomial data and logistic regression models. This section describes how users can use this tool in the context of the illustrative example above. It is critical that users of NetMetaXL receive training on network meta-analysis. Users should be educated on key concepts related to network meta-analysis and how to interpret findings for decision-making purposes. Users are also encouraged to consult with a statistician when using this tool. To run the Bayesian analysis using WinBUGS, a series of procedures are required, all of which are automated within NetMetaXL. In particular, the user must check that the model is properly specified, load the data, and select the number of chains (or samples) to specify the initial values for certain parameter estimates; set up monitors to store the sampled parameter values; run the simulation; check convergence for the parameter estimates; and then obtain a summary of the posterior distribution of the selected parameter estimates. We fit three chains for the Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) Bayesian network meta-analysis. The use of multiple chains is a useful way to check MCMC convergence. The user selects the initial values for each of these chains randomly from a uniform distribution. The user can select the bounds for the uniform distribution in the WinBUGS Settings worksheet. The user is encouraged to review the following paper [19] for additional detail on selecting initial values. Convergence is assessed in NetMetaXL using the Brooks-Gelman-Rubin method and by checking whether the Monte Carlo error is less than 5% of the sd of the effect estimates and between-study variance. These diagnostics are provided when the user runs the analysis. NetMetaXL will check whether the Monte Carlo error is less than 5% of the sd of the effect estimates and between-study variance and gives the user the option to view the Brooks-Gelman-Rubin plots from the WinBUGS output. The Brooks-Gelman-Rubin method compares within-chain and between-chain variances to calculate the potential scale reduction factor [20]. A potential scale reduction factor is presented in red in the figure, and a value close to one indicates when approximate convergence has been reached. We have shown how use of NetMetaXL can enhance the ability of users to run WinBUGS-based network meta-analyses entirely within Microsoft Excel. We have replicated findings from a network meta-analysis [8] published in the BMJ on combined resynchronization and implantable defibrillator therapy in left ventricular dysfunction using NetMetaXL. The approach and steps used in this illustrative example can be applied to running other network meta-analyses of dichotomous outcomes entirely through the Microsoft-Excel-based NetMetaXL tool, without requiring the user to directly use the WinBUGS software. In the future, we plan on developing similar tools for other outcome measures. This has led to the development of more user-friendly and integrated packages such as the Aggregate Data Drug Information System (ADDIS) [24]. Similar to our NetMetaXL tool, ADDIS [24] also provides users with a more user-friendly software package to run network meta-analyses without directly using WinBUGS (or JAGS or OpenBUGS) code. However, the current version of ADDIS (ADDIS 1) uses a stand-alone software package. Using Microsoft Excel offers some advantages over a stand-alone package like ADDIS such as the following: 1) it allows users to use a software that they are familiar with, 2) there is more potential for others to develop add-ons to the Excel-based tool (versus stand-alone package) given the wide user base, and 3) it allows the data and results to be more easily integrated with decision analytic models and health economic evaluations which are frequently Excel-based compared to stand-alone packages. Indeed, this was noted in a recent publication [25] where they developed an Excel-based tool to perform HTAs entirely within Microsoft Excel. This Excel-based tool developed by Bujkiewicz et al. [25] called the transparent interactive decision interrogator (TIDI) also integrated with WinBUGS but used R, another software with a steep learning curve for non-statisticians. Although the example in TIDI was not specific to network meta-analysis, TIDI [25] could also be used for conducting and critically appraising network meta-analyses as well. Despite the advantages of using Excel, there are also disadvantages. Excel is a free-form tool and accordingly there are opportunities for both user and programmer error. Users should double- and triple-check data inserted into NetMetaXL. To reduce the risk of programmer error, we used standard WinBUGS code provided in the NICE TSD series and had an independent statistician review the WinBUGS coding. 59ce067264 https://www.garyetomlinson.com/forum/business-forum/sports-autographs

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